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Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Nomination, Not Coronation

On the surface, the 2022 midterms were bleak for the GOP.

For the first time since 1934, the president’s party did not lose a single Senate incumbent during the midterms. The GOP did manage to flip the House but picked up just nine seats—a very modest number for a midterm election with an extremely unpopular president, who was pushing an extremely unpopular agenda with extreme incompetence.

And yet, reports of the GOP’s death are greatly exaggerated. In fact, for several reasons, the unexpectedly strong performance of the Democrats will likely turn out to be a long-term blessing for the GOP that will greatly increase the chances for a GOP triumph in 2024.