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Thursday, March 02, 2023

Can the Fed keep raising interest rates without causing a recession?

Can the Federal Reserve keep raising interest rates and defeat the nation's worst bout of inflation in 40 years without causing a recession?

Not according to a new research paper that concludes that such an "immaculate disinflation" has never happened before. The paper was produced by a group of leading economists, and three Fed officials addressed its conclusions in their own remarks Friday at a conference on monetary policy in New York.

13 comments:

  1. The short answer?

    No.....

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  2. The recession is coming no matter what. Not cause of what their doing now but because what they have done. If you would like to understand in detail look up Armstrong Economics. The most successful and accurate economist in history. If any of the other economists get it right ever it’s because they got lucky, or follow Armstrong. You welcome.

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  3. The longer answer....we are in a recession, high inflation, rising interest rates, and countless trillions in fiat = peak of the international ponzi scheme.

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  4. Can you keep charging stuff on your credit card and never pay it off?

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  5. Didn't work in the Great Depression (I know no credit cards then) with debts.

    Didn't work in the recession of the 80's when Volkner crushed the economy to stop inflation.

    Bankers ALWAYS get theirs, and historically they are protected by Sheriffs and such doing so.

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  6. we're already there. we'll be lucky to not go full Wiemar republic.

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  7. The Fed will raise rates high enough to reinforce the recession we're already in, but not high enough to squelch inflation.

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  8. I doubt Democrats much care about a US recession given they are doing all else they can to destroy it. They'd only care insofar as it might affect their re-elections.

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  9. all markets will be up in 2024.Its a election year,

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  10. Lest anyone forget the current regime changed the definition of recession because the old one was too inconvenient.

    High interest rates don't bother me so much when I remember these same people wanted to implement NEGATIVE interest rates on everybody's bank accounts, and that anybody who disagreed with their logic "was ignorant of how economics worked" or some such.

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  11. IDK about you guys…but I sure do love having a private banking cartel that controls almost every nation on the planet.

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  12. As long as they keep moving the recession goalpost, no. The event that will instantly trigger a recession, if not a full blown depression, will be the next Republican in the White House.

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  13. Who cares about a recession when we should be concerned with the absolute crash and burn of the fiat US dollar with our $400 trillion (fed, state, cities, retirement plans, etc.) in unfunded liabilities and debt. The time is coming when the EBT cards, etc., will no longer work for this Ponzi scheme and it will all burn down.

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