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Thursday, March 09, 2023

Commentary: The Population Crash

In 1968, Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich published The Population Bomb, a book extrapolating global population growth data to predict a catastrophe as humanity’s demand for resources outstripped supply. The book became a bestseller and catapulted Ehrlich to worldwide fame. But today, just over a half-century later, humanity faces a different challenge. We are in the early stages of a population crash.

10 comments:

  1. Unfortunately the decline in fertility rate is occurring in the USA, European countries (only the white portions of those) and some Asian countries. Meanwhile the dysgenic breeding patterns of the functionally retarded populations of Africa are exploding. https://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=31

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  2. I'm more worried that the wrong people are breeding and the smart good hard work honest people aren't

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  3. You want Americans to breed more children? Easy...just make it so that it can be affordable to have more children. My grandfather with only a high school education, worked an average job, wife did not work, and he could afford a home and raise 4 children. Today, the average couple can no longer afford to buy a decent home, let alone start having children. When children are viewed as the difference between financially making it or not, many couples will choose to forgo having kids.

    Also, to see the problem in real perspective, watch the first few minute of the movie "Idiocracy"

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  4. We don't need MORE people, we need a better class of people. If we want to all live in polluted shoebox hellholes in 50 years, by all means keep on breeding.

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  5. Erlich has made a career out of being wrong. Do a search on the "Simon-Erlich wager." If you want to see someone who got it mostly right, read Herman Kahn -- the anti-Erlich of the 1970s.

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  6. I read most of the article, but I didn't see the discussion about the thing that I expected. The reason that the population more than doubled since the late 60's is because of corporations like ADM, General Mills, and Monsanto and others. They are the ones who made increased food production possible to feed the billions of people who are living on the planet, with not only the same land, but less land, and less intensive work.
    We often see people decry the dirty, evil corporations for their greed, and of course they are greedy, wanting more profits, that is what corporations are in business for, but they also have made food production available on what once was arid land in sub Saharan Africa, that allows people who once were always on the edge of starvation to feed themselves and their families.
    The corporations invest money to drill wells, install center pivot irrigation systems, so that they are able to sell seed so that they can make a profit, but also so that the people can feed themselves and also sell some of their production, thus earning money to build schools and homes, etc.
    Without these corporations making the gains in agriculture the billions of people would never have lived, the parents would not have been able to breed such large numbers of children, and certainly not have been able to feed them.
    There are still places in the world that are in food danger, where their people suffer from lack of enough food to live from day to day. But that is almost always due to corruption, and not due to lack of food. That is the one thing that the U.N. does well, getting food to places where there is a shortage. What they do not do well is keep corrupt governments from appropriating it and selling it for their own profit.
    We see the same thing here in America. We have plenty of food available for every single person, what ever their age or situation. It is simply a matter of getting it into their hands, and making certain that they are able to utilize it, instead of selling it for meth or heroin. I remember my grandparents getting food delivered directly from the FDA. That program worked fantastically, the farmers had a market for their extra foodstuffs, and the food did not go to waste. But the government decided that it was better to just print a credit card, called at first food stamps, and now a bridge card or a SNAP card, and let people buy food that they like. Now you can buy chips and soda, instead of having cheese and fruit juice, powdered eggs and canned vegetables and such delivered to your home, that made you have to eat real food. I never saw it myself, but I have heard anecdotes about people dumping a 12 pack of soda out to get the deposit so they could buy a bottle of beer. It is certainly plausible, knowing how people are.

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    1. A common scam is to buy cases of soda from a local Mom’n’Pop store with EBT or food stamps and then sell it back for cash at a 50% discount, then use the cash to buy cigarettes and beer. I used to see this in Appalachia when I was a kid 40 years ago. I can’t imagine what sort of schemes people have come up with since then.

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  7. There just aren't many women I want to fuck.......

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  8. We keep pushing education on older and older young folk, and that means big debt. Then both men and women have missed a few breeding years and to pay of debt both have to work through more breeding years.
    Along with this young men have been scared out of approaching women in case of inappropriate behaviour accusations. So safer to play video games and watch porn, which again makes it even more difficult to approach a girl.
    All this time the woman is running out of eggs, plus it gets harder to conceive and go full term, plus she now has a career which makes her feel valued and perhaps raised her expectations with regard to an acceptable man.
    I am glad I was young when I was. Now happily married for 51 years. It is not easy for young folk these days.

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