Vice President Kamala Harris is enjoying a bump in national polls against former President Donald Trump following President Joe Biden stepping aside from the 2024 presidential race as Democrats are re-consolidating around Harris with less than three months to go until Election Day on Nov. 5, with the latest national polling average compiled by RealClearPolling.com showing Harris with a slight edge, 47.6 percent to 47.1 percent.
This appears to be the incumbency advantage reasserting itself. In U.S. history, incumbent presidents—defined as those sitting in office and standing for another term — have run for election 33 times. They won 23 times and lost 10 times, a 69.7 percent victory rate and 30.3 percent defeat rate.
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I take polls with a grain of salt. Look at the polls from the Clinton/Trump race - Billary was trouncing Trump in the polls, then he beat the holy shit out of her in the elections.
